The below-normal monsoon rainfall poses significant risks to India's agriculture-dependent economy. Rain-fed crops such as bajra, maize, groundnut, and tur are particularly vulnerable, while rice is less affected due to better irrigation coverage. A 1% shortfall in monsoon rainfall has historically been linked to a 0.4% decline in crop Gross Value Added (GVA) growth. Additionally, elevated temperatures could worsen food inflation, particularly affecting sensitive commodities like vegetables and milk. Weak monsoons are also associated with reduced rural wage growth, increased demand for government employment schemes like MGNREGA, and delayed purchases of agricultural equipment.