2026 Monsoon Ends with 13% Rainfall Deficit, IMD Reports
2026 Monsoon Ends with 13% Rainfall Deficit, IMD Reports
India · Published Nov 2, 2026
• The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has reported that the 2026 southwest monsoon season concluded with a 13% rainfall deficit compared to the long-term average of 87 cm. This marks one of the driest monsoon seasons for East and Northeast India since records began in
• Despite the development of a strong El Niño, which typically increases the likelihood of weak monsoon rainfall, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remained neutral, failing to offset El Niño's impact. The IMD's forecast for the south peninsula was accurate, but other regional forecasts showed discrepancies. The monsoon's performance highlights the complex interplay of oceanic and atmospheric systems, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), IOD, and Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO).

Impact & Risks

The deficient monsoon has significant socio-economic implications for India. With nearly 40% of the country's farmland dependent on rainfall, the weak monsoon has delayed crop sowing, reduced agricultural output, and impacted farmers' incomes. This could lead to increased food prices and strain on water resources, including reservoirs and drinking water supplies. The situation underscores the vulnerability of rain-fed agriculture and the importance of accurate monsoon forecasting for food security and water management.

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