East, Central India to lead late-monsoon rainfall; El Niño persists
East, Central India to lead late-monsoon rainfall; El Niño persists
India · Published Sep 24, 2026
• India's seasonal rainfall deficit remains at 15%, with improvements noted in some regions.
• East and Central India are expected to lead late-monsoon rainfall activity, supported by a low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal.

Impact & Risks

The ongoing rainfall deficit has unevenly affected different regions. While East and Northeast India have seen slight improvements, the South Peninsula continues to struggle with water shortages. Agricultural activities, particularly rice cultivation, remain below last year’s levels, which could impact food security. The strengthening El Niño poses additional risks, including potential disruptions to weather patterns and agricultural productivity.

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