Super El Niño to Amplify Heat-Mortality Risks in India
Super El Niño to Amplify Heat-Mortality Risks in India
IN · Published Sep 24, 2026
• The ongoing Super El Niño, characterised by abnormal warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, is expected to significantly impact global and regional weather patterns.
• According to the Climate Impact Lab, India may experience approximately 15,800 ± 1,600 additional heat-related deaths between September 2026 and February 2027 compared to a normal year.

Impact & Risks

The Super El Niño poses significant risks to India, particularly for vulnerable populations exposed to heat stress. Agriculture may suffer due to temperature fluctuations and rainfall variability, potentially affecting crop yields and water availability. The ongoing monsoon deficit increases the likelihood of drought conditions, while higher temperatures are expected to drive up cooling demands and electricity consumption. These factors collectively underscore the need for enhanced disaster preparedness and climate resilience measures.

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