The below-normal monsoon and elevated temperatures pose significant risks to India's agricultural sector, particularly for rain-fed crops. A 1% shortfall in monsoon rainfall has historically been linked to a 0.4% reduction in crop Gross Value Added (GVA) growth. Weak rainfall during the sowing season could reduce crop acreage, while late-season deficits may harm yields. Rising temperatures could further stress crops and livestock, leading to increased food inflation, especially for vegetables, milk, and other heat-sensitive products. Rural demand may also weaken, potentially affecting broader economic consumption patterns.