India Records Lowest Monsoon Rainfall in a Decade Due to Strong El Niño
India Records Lowest Monsoon Rainfall in a Decade Due to Strong El Niño
IN · Published Nov 9, 2026
• India's 2026 south-west monsoon season concluded with a significant rainfall deficit of 13% below the long-term average, marking the lowest seasonal rainfall since
• This shortfall is attributed to a very strong El Niño phenomenon, which has historically influenced monsoon patterns. The deficit has raised concerns about rural economic growth, particularly in states heavily reliant on agriculture. Despite this, India's rural economy has shown resilience over the past decade, supported by growth in allied sectors such as livestock, fishing, and aquaculture.

Impact & Risks

The monsoon deficit has adversely affected rural cash flows, particularly in Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Assam, Punjab, and Jharkhand. Except for Tamil Nadu, stagnant rural wages in these states are unlikely to offset the decline in crop incomes, exacerbating financial stress for farmers and rural communities. The reduced rainfall also impacts water reservoir levels and irrigation coverage, further straining agricultural productivity.

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