The reduced coffee output is likely to tighten supplies for export, potentially increasing costs for shippers and affecting India's competitiveness in global markets, especially in price-sensitive regions. With 70% of India's coffee being robusta beans, the shortfall could have a notable impact on global buyers. Karnataka, the primary coffee-producing state, is particularly vulnerable to rainfall fluctuations, which could exacerbate the situation. The weak monsoon and prolonged dry spells may also pose challenges for the 2027-28 coffee crop, though the full impact remains uncertain.