White Christmas Odds Across the U.S. Revealed by NOAA
White Christmas Odds Across the U.S. Revealed by NOAA
US · Published Oct 28, 2026
• The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released data detailing the likelihood of a white Christmas across the United States. According to NOAA's 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, Anchorage, Alaska, has the highest probability at 93.7%, while cities like Miami, New Orleans, and Houston have a 0% chance. The data is based on historical records of at least one inch of snow on the ground on December
• A strong El Niño this year could influence these odds, with warmer and drier conditions expected in northern regions, potentially reducing the chances of snow in areas that typically experience it.

Impact & Risks

The data highlights the varying likelihood of a white Christmas across the U.S., which could impact travel plans and holiday activities. Northern regions, which usually have higher chances of snow, may see reduced snowfall due to the ongoing El Niño. This could affect winter tourism and local economies that rely on seasonal activities like skiing and snowboarding. Conversely, regions with historically low chances of snow are unlikely to see significant changes.

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