Monsoon Retreat Likely Around 19 September, Rainfall to Persist: IMD
Monsoon Retreat Likely Around 19 September, Rainfall to Persist: IMD
IN · Published Sep 15, 2026
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that conditions are becoming favourable for the withdrawal of the southwest monsoon from parts of West Rajasthan around 19 September
This marks the beginning of the monsoon's retreat from the Indian mainland. Despite this, rainfall is expected to continue in several regions. Between 1 June and 13 September, cumulative monsoon rainfall across India was 15% below normal, with southern peninsular India experiencing the largest deficit at 28%, followed by East and Northeast India at 25%. The monsoon began weakly in June, with rainfall 36.5% below normal, disrupting early kharif crop sowing. However, July and August saw improved rainfall, reducing the overall deficit. Rainfall is forecast to persist in Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal in the coming days.

Impact & Risks

The rainfall deficit has significantly impacted agriculture, with kharif crop sowing areas 21% lower than the same period last year by the end of June. Crops such as urad, moong, soybean, and cotton have been particularly affected, potentially leading to inflationary pressures on food prices. Reservoir levels are also below average, with storage in 178 monitored reservoirs at 129.87 billion cubic metres as of 3 September, compared to 159.18 bcm last year. This could exacerbate water availability issues in the coming months, especially in regions already facing prolonged dry spells.

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